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Now that we have this formula, we can plug the number 0 into "Profit" and solve for x to find the percentage we must win to achieve 0 profit, our break even point.0=100x-110(1-x)
Using a General Formula to Find % for ANY Line
Our current equation is 0=100x-110(1-x), right? The 100 is in there because that the amount we win with each correct pick.
This is great! It means that a team who wins 60% of the time will break even with a line of -150.
If we give the Titans a 60% chance to win, then we must give the Jaguars a 40% chance (excluding ties, like always).
4-100(1-0.
Why Would I Handicap Before I Check Lines
Use this information to find value, filter out bad bets, and maximize profits across all sports, not just the NFL.
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