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September 12, 2017, was the launch day for Hillary Clinton's autobiographical account of the 2016 election she lost to Donald Trump, definitively entitled 'What Happened'. By midday 1669 reviews had been written on Amazon.com. By 3pm over half of the reviews, all with 1-star ratings, had been deleted by Amazon and a new review page for the book had been set up. After Day 1, 'What Happened' had over 600 reviews and an almost perfect 5 rating. What happened?!
Figure 1: Genuine support or fake reviews? Hillary Clinton's 'What Happened' Amazon rating 1 day after launch (and after all the negative reviews were deleted )
Faced with accusations of pro-Clinton bias as a result of deleting only negative reviews, an Amazon spokesperson confirmed that the company, in taking action against "content manipulation", looks at indicators such as the 'burstiness' of reviews (high rate of reviews in a short time period) and the relevance of the content – but doesn't delete reviews simply based on their rating or their verified status. (Hijazi, 2007).
It would appear that Amazon have taken on board the academic literature suggesting that burstiness is a feature of review spammers and deceptive reviews (e.g. this excellent paper by Geli Fei, Arjun Mukherjee, Bing Liu et al. ) and that it is right to interpret a rush of consecutive negative reviews close to a book launch as suspicious.
Figure 3: Number and frequency of 'What Happened' reviews in the first 30 days following its launch and deletion of negative reviews.
So, it is perfectly legitimate to ask whether the 'What Happened' reviews were manipulated through 'planting' of 'fake' 5 star reviews written for financial gain or otherwise incentivised e.g. in exchange for a free copy of the book, which would circumvent Amazon's Verified Purchase requirement. With my investigative linguist hat on, I'm wondering if there are any linguistic patterns associated with this irregular – and potentially deceptive – behaviour? (If there are, these could be used to aid deception detection in the absence of – or in tandem with – non-linguistic 'metadata'.)
If there is a text cluster that correlates with 'burstiness' – i.e. occurs more frequently in the reviews closest to the book launch date and/or occurs repeatedly within a short time frame – then that would suggest there are specific linguistic styles and/or strategies correlated with this deceptive reviewing behaviour. The existence of such a distinct deception cluster would strongly suggest that Clinton's PR team gamed the Amazon review system (understandably, in order to counter the negative campaign against the book). Alternatively, different reviewing strategies might be distributed randomly across the review corpus and unrelated to its proximity to the book launch date. This would weaken the argument that linguistic variation in the reviews is a potential deception cue. The two scenarios are illustrated in Figure 4 below:
Check back here in a few days for Part 2: Results and Discussion!
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